PGA Waste Management Open - 3rd Rd: Will ANY of these PLAYERS (Clark, Holmes, Horschel) record a PAR on the Par 4 8th?

3:10PM
Yes: At least 1 records Par on Hole 8
No: None record Par on Hole 8

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Inputs To Solve

2019 Waste Management Open Course Stats

##### User Estimates #####

par_8 = 170/float(47+170+47)

print("The probability of a PLAYER recording a PAR on hole 8 is ~%s" % round(par_8,3))

The probability of a PLAYER recording a PAR on hole 8 is ~0.644     

## Inputs Defined in the Problem

golfers = 3

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Method to Solve

[1] Estimate the probability of a golfer scoring a Par on hole 8 (par_8)
[2] The probability that none record a par (p_noPAR) on Hole 8 is (1 minus the probability of a PAR on HOLE 8) ^ (the number of golfers)

## [1]

round(par_8,3)

0.644

## [2]

p_noPAR = (1-par_8)**(golfers)

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Solution

print("The probability that neither Clark, Holmes, Horschel the Par the 8th is ~%s" % round(p_noPAR,3))

The probability that neither Clark, Holmes or Horschel Par the 8th is ~0.045     

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Info

download md file
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import sys
print(sys.version)

2.7.12 |Anaconda 4.2.0 (64-bit)| (default, Jun 29 2016, 11:07:13) [MSC v.1500 64 bit (AMD64)]

Posted on 2/1/2020