PGA Waste Management Open - 1st Rd: Will H. Matsuyama, J. Rahm OR J. Thomas record a BIRDIE (2) the Par 3 16th?

11:35AM
Yes: At least 1 birdies Hole 16
No: None birdie Hole 16

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Inputs To Solve

2019 Waste Management Open Course Stats

##### User Estimates #####

p_bird16 = 62/(62+296+51)

print("The probability of a PLAYER recording a BIRDIE on hole 16 is ~%s" % round(p_bird16,3))

The probability of a PLAYER recording a BIRDIE on hole 16 is ~0.152     

## Inputs Defined in the Problem

golfers = 3

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Method to Solve

[1] Estimate the probability of a golfer scoring a birdie on hole 16 (p_bird16)
[2] The probability that none record a BIRDIE (p_noBIRD) on Hole 16 is (1 minus the probability of a BIRDIE on HOLE 16) ^ (the number of golfers)

## [1]

round(p_bird16,3)

0.152

## [2]

p_noBIRD = (1-p_bird16)**(golfers)

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Solution

print("The probability that neither H. Matsuyama, J. Rahm OR J. Thomas BIRDIE (2) the Par 3 16th is ~%s" % round(p_noBIRD,3))

The probability that neither H. Matsuyama, J. Rahm OR J. Thomas BIRDIE (2) the Par 3 16th is ~0.611     

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Info

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import sys
print(sys.version)

3.6.5 |Anaconda, Inc.| (default, Mar 29 2018, 13:32:41) [MSC v.1900 64 bit (AMD64)]

Posted on 1/30/2020