PGA The Northern Trust - 1st Rd (Jersey City, NJ): Will J. Rose, M. Leishman OR R. Fowler BIRDIE the Par 4 18th?

5:27PM
Yes: At least 1 birdies Hole 18
No: None birdie Hole 18

Inputs To Solve

##### User Estimates #####
p_bird18 = 50/(50+259+82+4+2)

print("The probability of a PLAYER scoring a BIRDIE on hole 18 is ~%s" % round(p_bird18,3))

The probability of a PLAYER scoring a BIRDIE on hole 18 is ~0.126

## Inputs Defined in the Problem
num_birdies = 1
golfers = ['Rose','Leishman','Fowler']

[1] Estimate the probability of a golfer scoring a birdie on hole 18 (p_bird18)
[2] The probability that no BIRDIES (p_noBIRD) are recorded by all three golfers on hole 18 is (1 minus the probability of a BIRDIE on HOLE 18) ^ (the number of golfers)

## [1]

round(p_bird18,3)

0.126

## [2]
p_noBIRD = (1-p_bird18)**(len(golfers))

print("The probability that neither of J. Rose, M. Leishman OR R. Fowler BIRDIE the Par 4 18this ~%s" % round(p_noBIRD,3))

The probability that neither of J. Rose, M. Leishman OR R. Fowler BIRDIE the Par 4 18this ~0.668

Posted on 8/8/2019