Men’s US Open - 2nd Rd (#1 N. Djokovic v. J. Londero): Will there be an ACE in the FIRST 2 GAMES of the 1st Set?

7:10PM
Yes: 1+ Aces in 1st 2 Games of 1st Set
No: No Ace in 1st 2 Games of 1st Set

Inputs Needed To Solve

##### User Estimates #####

ND_Aces = 5478/12725
JL_Aces = 156/480

print("Djokovic's Aces per Service Game is %s" % round(ND_Aces,3))
print("Londero's Aces per Service Game is %s" % round(JL_Aces,3))

Djokovic's Aces per Service Game is 0.43
Londero's Aces per Service Game is 0.325

Method To Solve

[1] The probability there are no ACES (p_noACE) in the FIRST 2 GAMES of the 1st Set is (1-ND_Aces) * (1-JL_Aces)

## [1]

p_noACE = (1-ND_Aces) * (1-JL_Aces)

Solution

print("The probability there are no ACES in the FIRST 2 GAMES of the 1st Set is ~ %s" % round(p_noACE,3))

The probability there are no ACES in the FIRST 2 GAMES of the 1st Set is ~ 0.384

Info

download md file
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import sys
print(sys.version)

3.6.5 |Anaconda, Inc.| (default, Mar 29 2018, 13:32:41) [MSC v.1900 64 bit (AMD64)]

Posted on 8/28/2019